GRIDPACE LABThe research
An unbranded Formula racing car on a dark circuit
INDEPENDENT FORMULA RACING RESEARCHGRID PACE LAB
DRIVERS. DATA. PERSPECTIVE.

EVERY ANGLE.
EVERY OUTCOME.

Understand the grid. Explore driver statistics, salaries and contracts, then go deeper with independent race forecasts and simulation reports.

Explore the research Enter Race Director
Explore Grid Pace Lab Research. People. Possibilities.
YOUR WAY INTO THE PADDOCK

Where will your curiosity take you?

The research desk2 published reports · open assumptionsThe driver directory22 drivers · their own storiesThe simulation labYour driver. Your race strategy.The playground24 ways to test your racing mind
01 / THE RESEARCH DESK

The story behind the numbers.

All reports
Austin · 25 October 2026
Highest win probability · main forecast
39.22%VerstappenPre-weekend model estimate
VER39.22%
LEC16.40%
RUS13.95%
3 million races · 22 drivers · 9 scenario views
2026 United States Grand PrixSimulation reportEnglish
web edition
Simulation report20 Oct 2026

Austin 2026: the race forecast

Three million simulated races. Twenty-two drivers. Explore the United States Grand Prix forecast, all result-order probabilities and nine views of the assumptions behind them.

Method

Monte Carlo · equal mixture of 2-, 4- and 8-race form models

15 min readRead the report
02 / COLOUR. CRAFT. COMPETITION.

The grid, in full colour.

Explore all eleven teams
CONSTRUCTOR / 2026

Mercedes

578 pts
2026 Mercedes Formula 1 car, right-facing side profile
8 constructor titlesInside the team
CONSTRUCTOR / 2026

Ferrari

444 pts
2026 Ferrari Formula 1 car, right-facing side profile
16 constructor titlesInside the team
CONSTRUCTOR / 2026

McLaren

339 pts
2026 McLaren Formula 1 car, right-facing side profile
10 constructor titlesInside the team

Constructor standings checked 18 Oct 2026. Explore the full grid for driver line-ups, salary estimates and title histories. Car imagery: Formula 1.

03 / THE PEOPLE BEHIND THE PACE

One grid. Different stories.

Meet all 22 drivers

The leading six. Their season so far.

2026 DRIVERS’ CHAMPIONSHIP
  1. Kimi Antonelli
    P01CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    KimiAntonelli

    Mercedes

    SEASON POINTS340pts
    RACE NUMBER #12View driver
  2. George Russell
    P02CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    GeorgeRussell

    Mercedes

    SEASON POINTS238pts
    RACE NUMBER #63View driver
  3. Lewis Hamilton
    P03CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    LewisHamilton

    Ferrari

    SEASON POINTS229pts
    RACE NUMBER #44View driver
  4. Max Verstappen
    P04CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    MaxVerstappen

    Red Bull Racing

    SEASON POINTS221pts
    RACE NUMBER #3View driver
  5. Charles Leclerc
    P05CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    CharlesLeclerc

    Ferrari

    SEASON POINTS215pts
    RACE NUMBER #16View driver
  6. Lando Norris
    P06CHAMPIONSHIP POSITION

    LandoNorris

    McLaren

    SEASON POINTS201pts
    RACE NUMBER #1View driver

Ordered by official championship position. Standings checked · Formula 1 standings

04 / FROM OBSERVER TO DECISION MAKER

Your turn on the pit wall.

Simulation Hub
RACE DIRECTOR

Every call
has a consequence.

Pick your driver. Balance tyres, weather and pit stops. Then replay the race and compare your strategies.

Build your race An interactive, illustrative racing simulation.

Independent by design. Reports are dated analyses, not live race results. Driver photography: Formula 1.